TX-10: Doherty Closes In

Research 2000 for Daily Kos (10/20-22, likely voters):

Larry Joe Doherty (D): 42

Mike McCaul (R): 46

(MoE: ±5%)

Texas is a long-term project for the Democrats, and districts like TX-10 are leading the way: it’s one of the fastest-growing districts in the country, and most of the growth is non-white. If this poll is any indication, though, we might be on the verge of seeing some good results right away.

Mike McCaul was already publicly sweating the early voting patterns in Harris and Travis Counties (this R+13 district stretches wormlike across hundreds of miles to link Houston and Austin suburbs). This poll can’t be helping him feel any better, as it’s slightly better than recent Doherty internals. Between McCaul never having faced a full-on challenge before, Doherty’s money and name recognition (he’s a former TV judge), changes in the district, and the size of the Dem wave (McCain leads only 48-41 in the district, down from Bush’s 62-38 edge), here’s one more upset waiting to happen.

5 thoughts on “TX-10: Doherty Closes In”

  1. Is that it ranked more likely to flip than TX-07 does in Republicans “Death List”.  I think this race deserves a bump on my ratings too.  I can’t wait to post my final house predictions with estimates on who wins & who doesn’t.  I’ll post it a couple days before election day.  

  2. And I mean soon, as early as the Wednesday after next, or whenever polls show Doherty and Skelly with 50% or more, well then the DCCC is going to come all in to these Houston area races.

    It would be rude of me to suggest that such an 11th or 13th hour charge might involve positioning themselves to claim credit for the wins and turning Texas blue. Y’all hurry on down, ya hear?

    I’m proud to say that I made a little contribution to Larry Joe Doherty some time back. That’s because I like to support longshots that I see have a chance to win. If I wanted to piss my money away, I’d have sent it to the DCCC instead and let them use their good judgement.

    Yeah, I’m getting bitter. Or got bitter, as in too late now, I am bitter.

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